Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +21 (149-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Williams * | 35 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Leonard Miller * | 34 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Lachlan Olbrich * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | - |
| Collin Sexton * | 28 | 8-16 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Tre Jones * | 19 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Rob Dillingham | 29 | 11-18 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Mouhamadou Gueye | 28 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mac McClung | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Yuki Kawamura | 14 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nembhard * | 38 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 34 | - |
| Dwight Powell * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Max Christie * | 12 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 9 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 40 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 37 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 36 | 9-18 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 17 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 25 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 10 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
* = starter