Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.7% | 8.3% | -13.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -12 (121-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Reed * | 21 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 21 | 9-12 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 21 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Cade Cunningham * | 21 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Huerter | 20 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 19 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 16 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Javonte Green | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Isaac Jones | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tolu Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson * | 38 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Kobe Brown * | 34 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Micah Potter * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 29 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Jay Huff | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kam Jones | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Obi Toppin | 18 | 7-12 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 14 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter