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2026-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 51.5% 48.5% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% - βœ—
Margin 79.4% 20.6% -7.4 βœ— (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.6% 35.4% - βœ—
Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 78.2% 21.8% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 78.2% 21.8% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 67.3% 32.7% - βœ—

Actual: Sacramento Kings +6 (124-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandin Podziemski * 32 9-15 3-8 9-10 3 1 1 0 2 30 18 -
Stephen Curry * 27 3-8 2-6 3-3 3 5 2 0 3 11 10 -
Gui Santos * 26 3-10 1-3 0-0 3 6 2 0 0 7 8 -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 25 4-12 1-3 2-3 7 2 1 1 4 11 6 -
Draymond Green * 23 2-3 1-2 2-2 4 6 1 0 3 7 12 -
De'Anthony Melton 28 5-9 3-6 4-4 4 3 1 0 2 17 14 -
Al Horford 17 4-8 2-4 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 10 5 -
Gary Payton II 15 5-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 10 7 -
Charles Bassey 15 1-3 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 1 0 6 9 -
Pat Spencer 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 2 4 -
Malevy Leons 11 2-3 1-1 2-2 2 0 2 0 0 7 8 -
Will Richard 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maxime Raynaud * 39 9-12 2-4 3-5 9 4 1 0 3 23 22 -
Nique Clifford * 37 5-14 2-6 8-9 6 6 0 0 4 20 14 -
Daeqwon Plowden * 37 7-16 3-9 3-3 9 3 2 0 2 20 16 -
Devin Carter * 34 11-18 6-11 1-4 9 4 2 1 4 29 23 -
Precious Achiuwa * 24 2-9 0-4 1-2 6 4 2 1 1 5 8 -
Dylan Cardwell 23 3-6 1-1 0-2 7 1 2 2 0 7 13 -
Killian Hayes 19 0-3 0-2 6-6 1 2 1 0 0 6 7 -
Doug McDermott 13 0-5 0-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Malik Monk 9 4-6 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 11 7 -

* = starter