Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +19 (139-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 32 | 13-25 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 17 | - |
| Max Christie * | 31 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 29 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 19 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 18 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 27 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 26 | 14-23 | 2-7 | 10-11 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 36 | - |
| Dylan Harper * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 28 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 25 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 23 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Harrison Ingram | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter