🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% -
Bradley-Terry 44.4% 55.6% -
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% -
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% -
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -4 (132-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 34 8-19 0-3 0-0 7 2 0 4 0 16 10 -
Kyle Anderson * 32 7-12 0-0 3-5 6 9 2 0 0 17 22 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 29 6-12 3-8 3-6 4 2 1 2 1 18 14 -
Anthony Edwards * 27 7-14 3-7 5-6 2 3 0 0 4 22 9 -
Joan Beringer * 25 5-5 0-0 4-4 4 1 2 1 0 14 17 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 27 8-13 5-7 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 23 11 -
Ayo Dosunmu 26 6-10 1-2 2-2 0 4 0 0 1 15 8 -
Mike Conley 24 3-3 3-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 9 12 -
Jaylen Clark 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 41 17-22 0-1 7-7 9 7 2 0 2 41 35 -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 39 5-12 2-5 4-6 6 2 0 2 1 16 13 -
Kevin Durant * 38 13-18 0-1 7-9 7 7 1 2 3 33 29 -
Alperen Sengun * 28 10-13 0-0 2-2 6 8 0 1 3 22 21 -
Josh Okogie * 27 0-3 0-3 2-2 1 2 0 2 0 2 4 -
Tari Eason 23 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 0 -2 -
Reed Sheppard 18 5-12 2-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 12 5 -
Clint Capela 8 2-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Jae'Sean Tate 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Aaron Holiday 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter