Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +22 (124-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 25 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 24 | 7-15 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Max Strus * | 23 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 21 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 15 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tristan Enaruna | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 12 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Olivier Sarr | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Riley Minix | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 31 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 26 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 25 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 24 | 11-16 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 23 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 18 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Asa Newell | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter