Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -16 (103-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 31 | 11-17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Luke Kennard * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 30 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 30 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 29 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Bronny James | 20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 11 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Drew Timme | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Spencer * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Nate Williams * | 34 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 24 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Charles Bassey | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Malevy Leons | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Seth Curry | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| LJ Cryer | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
* = starter