Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +5 (112-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Christie * | 32 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 31 | 4-19 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 26 | 8-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 29 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 17 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 13-27 | 2-6 | 9-9 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 20 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 33 | 11-22 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Khaman Maluach * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Green * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 33 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Royce O'Neale | 23 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter