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2026-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% -
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% -
Log Adjusted 24.8% 75.2% -
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +11 (112-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 39 7-12 4-8 0-0 4 6 3 1 2 18 18 -
Scoot Henderson * 38 7-20 3-9 3-4 3 2 3 1 1 20 8 -
Deni Avdija * 37 13-21 1-3 2-4 6 6 0 0 6 29 14 -
Jrue Holiday * 31 6-17 1-7 0-0 9 7 1 0 3 13 10 -
Donovan Clingan * 28 4-7 3-5 0-0 11 5 1 2 0 11 23 -
Matisse Thybulle 24 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 -3 -
Kris Murray 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Robert Williams III 12 2-3 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 0 2 4 7 -
Sidy Cissoko 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Blake Wesley 4 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Caleb Love 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 34 10-20 3-6 2-3 5 7 3 0 4 25 16 -
Dylan Harper * 32 6-13 1-2 0-0 6 4 2 2 4 13 10 -
Devin Vassell * 30 5-13 2-7 2-3 8 1 2 0 1 14 11 -
Luke Kornet * 26 5-6 0-0 0-0 5 6 2 1 0 10 18 -
Julian Champagnie * 26 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 3 0 2 0 2 5 -
Keldon Johnson 28 8-15 0-3 4-5 8 1 2 1 2 20 15 -
Harrison Barnes 26 2-4 0-2 5-6 2 2 1 0 3 9 7 -
Carter Bryant 24 6-9 5-6 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 17 17 -
Jordan McLaughlin 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter