Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +26 (137-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jericho Sims * | 38 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 32 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| AJ Green * | 30 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Taurean Prince * | 27 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng * | 26 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Cormac Ryan | 24 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 19 | 3-12 | 0-8 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -6 | - |
| Pete Nance | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Gary Harris | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alex Antetokounmpo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Duren * | 27 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Cade Cunningham * | 25 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 24 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 21 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 20 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Javonte Green | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Paul Reed | 9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tolu Smith | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter