Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +6 (122-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 39 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 33 | 4-16 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 32 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 32 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 30 | 11-20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 14 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 6-10 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 31 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 12-19 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 22 | - |
| James Harden * | 33 | 6-23 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 27 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Max Strus | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter