Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -14 (105-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 38 | 6-18 | 5-13 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 35 | 8-20 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 28 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 21 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tari Eason | 31 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 21 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Clint Capela | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 15-16 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 25 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Royce O'Neale | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Koby Brea | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter