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2026-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% -
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% -
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Log Adjusted 41.4% 58.6% -
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% -

Actual: LA Clippers +13 (116-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cooper Flagg * 33 9-25 1-3 6-6 9 2 0 1 1 25 11 -
Max Christie * 28 1-8 0-5 10-10 5 1 1 0 1 12 10 -
Khris Middleton * 19 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 2 0 -
Dwight Powell * 19 0-0 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 0 1 4 12 -
Naji Marshall * 19 3-10 0-1 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 6 0 -
Klay Thompson 26 4-17 1-10 2-2 3 2 0 3 1 11 1 -
Marvin Bagley III 26 8-11 1-1 4-4 9 1 1 2 0 21 23 -
Ryan Nembhard 24 6-12 0-2 0-0 6 7 2 0 1 12 14 -
John Poulakidas 18 1-6 1-5 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 3 5 -
Tyler Smith 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
AJ Johnson 5 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 30 11-19 6-10 6-9 4 3 1 0 3 34 20 -
Darius Garland * 28 9-18 2-6 2-2 1 4 1 1 2 22 9 -
Kris Dunn * 27 1-4 0-1 0-0 7 3 2 0 2 2 8 -
Brook Lopez * 25 4-8 1-3 0-1 11 3 0 4 1 9 18 -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 23 4-10 1-2 2-2 10 2 0 1 0 11 14 -
John Collins 27 5-11 1-5 1-4 7 1 0 2 3 12 8 -
Bennedict Mathurin 27 1-8 0-2 7-8 6 3 1 0 3 9 8 -
Kobe Sanders 24 4-8 3-7 0-0 5 2 1 1 0 11 12 -
Jordan Miller 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Norchad Omier 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Sean Pedulla 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cam Christie 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
TyTy Washington Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter