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2026-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 90.8% 9.2% -
Bradley-Terry 79.5% 20.5% -
Margin 84.0% 16.0% -9.1 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 64.9% 35.1% -
Efficiency 81.0% 19.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% -
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% -
Points Off/Def 66.3% 33.7% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -20 (104-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 33 10-17 1-5 3-3 5 1 3 0 5 24 11 -
Rudy Gobert * 33 2-5 0-0 1-1 12 3 1 2 2 5 16 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 30 4-12 3-10 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 11 9 -
Julius Randle * 27 5-13 3-7 6-6 2 4 0 0 1 19 11 -
Mike Conley * 20 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 3 3 0 3 8 7 -
Naz Reid 23 7-10 3-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 17 10 -
Bones Hyland 20 5-9 4-7 5-6 4 7 1 0 0 19 22 -
Jaylen Clark 17 5-9 1-3 0-0 1 0 4 0 0 11 7 -
Kyle Anderson 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 0 6 10 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Julian Phillips 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Zyon Pullin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joan Beringer 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
Enrique Freeman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ethan Thompson * 29 4-8 1-3 8-10 4 1 0 0 2 17 12 -
Jarace Walker * 28 4-12 1-6 2-2 6 5 3 0 5 11 8 -
Jay Huff * 25 5-9 2-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 12 8 -
Quenton Jackson * 24 2-7 0-1 5-6 1 4 1 0 1 9 7 -
Kobe Brown * 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
Jalen Slawson 34 6-7 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 1 2 14 9 -
Kam Jones 23 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 9 8 -
Obi Toppin 22 4-13 1-3 5-5 3 2 1 0 2 14 5 -
Micah Potter 22 3-5 1-3 4-6 3 2 1 0 3 11 9 -
Taelon Peter 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 3 0 3 5 8 -

* = starter