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2026-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% - ✓
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 ✓ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% - ✓
Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.9% 68.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.7% 67.3% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +13 (115-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
VJ Edgecombe * 40 6-15 2-7 0-0 8 3 1 1 1 14 11 -
Tyrese Maxey * 39 6-16 1-4 2-2 3 8 0 0 4 15 6 -
Joel Embiid * 39 8-19 2-6 16-19 12 1 0 4 4 34 28 -
Paul George * 38 5-15 4-5 2-4 5 4 2 0 1 16 11 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 29 2-7 0-3 1-1 8 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
Quentin Grimes 22 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
Dominick Barlow 15 2-4 0-1 2-2 8 0 2 0 0 6 12 -
Andre Drummond 8 2-4 0-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
Justin Edwards 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 30 4-9 1-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 9 9 -
Stephon Castle * 30 6-13 1-2 6-6 10 13 2 0 2 19 29 -
Julian Champagnie * 26 3-6 1-4 0-0 9 2 0 0 0 7 12 -
De'Aaron Fox * 26 6-12 1-5 0-2 0 4 2 1 3 13 5 -
Victor Wembanyama * 15 7-11 1-3 2-4 5 1 0 3 2 17 13 -
Dylan Harper 27 7-11 3-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 17 13 -
Keldon Johnson 25 4-14 1-5 4-6 9 1 2 1 1 13 11 -
Luke Kornet 22 4-6 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 10 8 -
Harrison Barnes 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Carter Bryant 12 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
Lindy Waters III 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter