Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | β (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | β |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -1 (116-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 30 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 36 | 10-19 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 31 | 9-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tari Eason | 19 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Clint Capela | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 36 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 34 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | - |
| Gui Santos * | 32 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Stephen Curry | 26 | 11-21 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 25 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Seth Curry | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Charles Bassey | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Will Richard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter