Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (134-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard * | 41 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 39 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| LeBron James * | 38 | 12-22 | 1-6 | 5-9 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 29 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 27 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bronny James | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 38 | 14-27 | 2-4 | 15-17 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 36 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 29 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Max Christie * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 21 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 18 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter