Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +9 (117-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Brown * | 39 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 32 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Micah Potter * | 30 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Ethan Thompson * | 29 | 1-12 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -5 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 28 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Obi Toppin | 23 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 10-10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Kam Jones | 19 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jay Huff | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 34 | 8-17 | 5-11 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Keon Ellis * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 32 | 16-27 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 21 | - |
| Max Strus * | 30 | 1-10 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Thomas Bryant * | 26 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter