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2026-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 17.1% 82.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Log Adjusted 50.3% 49.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +16 (131-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toby Okani * 41 4-12 1-4 0-2 3 0 1 0 1 9 0 -
Rayan Rupert * 39 9-19 2-6 13-16 10 10 4 1 4 33 35 -
Walter Clayton Jr. * 25 6-11 4-6 4-4 3 4 0 0 3 20 13 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper * 14 5-10 1-5 2-3 3 2 0 0 1 13 7 -
Taylor Hendricks * 12 3-4 3-4 2-2 4 0 4 0 0 11 15 -
Dariq Whitehead 38 6-19 3-10 1-1 3 2 1 0 1 16 2 -
Lucas Williamson 36 2-9 1-6 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 5 2 -
Adama Bal 25 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 8 6 -
Taj Gibson 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 0 6 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Rollins * 32 10-16 4-7 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 24 14 -
Ousmane Dieng * 31 6-15 1-4 4-7 9 6 0 0 2 17 15 -
AJ Green * 26 2-7 2-7 0-0 1 1 0 1 4 6 -2 -
Kyle Kuzma * 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 6 1 2 4 4 10 -
Myles Turner * 21 6-13 1-4 6-7 11 0 2 2 0 19 21 -
Cormac Ryan 29 7-8 3-4 4-4 4 3 5 0 2 21 23 -
Jericho Sims 26 6-7 0-0 0-2 4 3 0 0 2 12 10 -
Taurean Prince 23 7-8 5-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 19 15 -
Pete Nance 23 2-4 0-1 1-2 4 4 0 0 1 5 8 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 1 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Alex Antetokounmpo 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter