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2026-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 28.0% 72.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% -
Log Adjusted 28.5% 71.5% -
Points Off/Def 31.0% 69.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +14 (115-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 35 6-17 1-4 2-2 5 4 0 1 3 15 5 -
Brandon Ingram * 33 6-13 0-1 3-3 3 4 0 1 2 15 8 -
Scottie Barnes * 32 5-14 0-3 0-0 6 8 3 0 4 10 9 -
Ja'Kobe Walter * 32 6-9 4-5 0-3 2 1 2 1 0 16 13 -
Jakob Poeltl * 20 7-9 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 14 4 -
Collin Murray-Boyles 25 5-8 0-0 2-4 5 5 1 1 1 12 15 -
Jamal Shead 25 2-8 1-3 2-2 1 5 0 0 2 7 3 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 24 2-4 2-3 4-4 6 4 0 0 0 10 16 -
A.J. Lawson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Gradey Dick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jonathan Mogbo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Alijah Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jamison Battle 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 35 11-20 1-3 3-5 6 3 2 0 5 26 12 -
Jayson Tatum * 34 7-15 2-6 7-8 13 7 3 0 5 23 26 -
Derrick White * 34 4-7 2-3 0-0 6 6 1 0 1 10 15 -
Neemias Queta * 33 9-10 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 3 0 18 22 -
Sam Hauser * 26 3-7 1-4 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
Payton Pritchard 30 7-12 1-3 2-2 1 3 3 0 1 17 11 -
Baylor Scheierman 16 2-8 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Jordan Walsh 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
Nikola Vučević 13 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
Ron Harper Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Hugo González 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter