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2026-04-04

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% - ✓
Margin 65.6% 34.4% -3.5 ✗ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.6% 41.4% - ✗
Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 57.4% 42.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% - ✗

Actual: Sacramento Kings +4 (117-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 31 5-9 1-5 2-2 4 4 1 1 3 13 11 -
Saddiq Bey * 29 7-15 1-6 5-5 1 3 1 0 0 20 10 -
Zion Williamson * 28 5-11 0-0 3-4 5 3 1 0 4 13 7 -
Yves Missi * 20 2-5 0-0 2-3 7 2 0 0 0 6 10 -
Herbert Jones * 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
Jeremiah Fears 36 10-19 5-11 3-3 8 6 0 0 1 28 22 -
Micah Peavy 31 2-5 2-3 2-2 3 3 4 0 0 8 13 -
Derik Queen 27 3-10 0-2 2-2 7 2 3 0 2 8 8 -
Jordan Hawkins 20 5-7 4-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 14 5 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nique Clifford * 38 9-16 4-6 1-2 5 7 1 0 4 23 16 -
Devin Carter * 31 3-10 2-6 1-3 6 3 1 1 2 9 8 -
Maxime Raynaud * 29 11-14 0-1 6-7 9 4 0 0 1 28 26 -
Precious Achiuwa * 24 6-10 0-2 0-1 7 2 2 0 3 12 10 -
DeMar DeRozan * 23 7-11 0-0 0-0 2 5 2 0 0 14 12 -
Daeqwon Plowden 30 5-12 2-8 5-5 3 1 1 0 1 17 9 -
Dylan Cardwell 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 5 2 6 14 -
Killian Hayes 19 1-8 1-5 2-2 3 5 0 0 1 5 4 -
Doug McDermott 18 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter