Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.7% | 11.3% | -11.3 | ✓ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -32 (101-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 31 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Derrick White * | 31 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 30 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 26 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 26 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Luka Garza | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Charles Bassey | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Hugo González | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Nance * | 33 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| AJ Green * | 30 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 24 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng * | 23 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -3 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Cormac Ryan | 32 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Taurean Prince | 24 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Gary Harris | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 9 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Antetokounmpo | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter