Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.4% | 22.6% | -6.8 | ✓ (25.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -32 (96-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 29 | 9-17 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 26 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 23 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Alijah Martin | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 6 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Jackson * | 30 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Javon Small * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Rayan Rupert * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Toby Okani | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Dariq Whitehead | 22 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Adama Bal | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Lucas Williamson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jahmai Mashack | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter