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2026-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - ✓
Margin 7.9% 92.1% +13.5 ✓ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% - ✓
Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 23.2% 76.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 23.2% 76.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 26.7% 73.3% - ✓

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +21 (129-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 33 13-24 2-4 2-3 7 2 2 0 2 30 15 -
Kobe Brown * 28 5-10 1-2 1-2 9 3 0 0 2 12 12 -
Quenton Jackson * 25 6-8 2-3 2-3 3 5 1 0 1 16 16 -
Ben Sheppard * 24 2-7 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 7 5 -
Jay Huff * 24 5-18 2-10 0-0 6 4 1 1 2 12 4 -
Ethan Thompson 30 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
Kam Jones 22 3-5 1-2 0-0 6 10 1 0 1 7 18 -
Obi Toppin 20 4-9 3-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 11 6 -
Taelon Peter 18 2-5 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Micah Potter 13 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 30 6-15 5-12 1-2 6 9 2 0 3 18 17 -
Kon Knueppel * 30 7-12 3-7 3-3 4 4 2 0 2 20 16 -
Brandon Miller * 29 9-17 4-8 0-0 6 3 1 1 0 22 16 -
Miles Bridges * 25 7-16 3-5 2-2 6 1 0 1 1 19 10 -
Ryan Kalkbrenner * 24 3-7 0-0 1-1 8 2 0 3 1 7 12 -
Josh Green 24 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 6 6 -
Sion James 22 4-9 4-8 1-1 6 3 1 0 0 13 14 -
Xavier Tillman 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 0 2 7 -
Pat Connaughton 17 2-4 2-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
Coby White 14 3-7 1-2 4-4 3 4 0 0 1 11 10 -
Tre Mann 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter