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2026-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 75.5% 24.5% -
Bradley-Terry 59.1% 40.9% -
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% -
Log Adjusted 49.5% 50.5% -
Points Off/Def 45.3% 54.7% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -7 (111-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 36 7-11 3-6 2-2 2 5 0 0 4 19 11 -
Donovan Mitchell * 34 7-14 4-7 7-7 6 3 2 1 5 25 18 -
Evan Mobley * 32 6-11 0-2 0-2 10 5 1 0 0 12 17 -
Max Strus * 27 9-14 6-10 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 24 15 -
Jarrett Allen * 23 5-10 0-0 6-12 13 0 1 0 0 16 20 -
Sam Merrill 28 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 3 3 -
Keon Ellis 22 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 4 3 -
Dennis Schröder 20 4-7 1-2 3-3 2 6 1 0 2 12 12 -
Thomas Bryant 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandin Podziemski * 35 9-15 2-5 5-6 4 4 2 0 1 25 19 -
Draymond Green * 35 3-11 2-8 0-0 9 9 1 3 2 8 17 -
Gui Santos * 31 9-14 2-6 5-6 4 4 2 0 3 25 18 -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 27 6-13 0-5 4-4 7 1 0 1 2 16 10 -
De'Anthony Melton * 25 2-12 1-5 0-0 6 3 3 0 2 5 3 -
Gary Payton II 27 4-9 0-2 0-0 12 2 2 1 1 8 15 -
LJ Cryer 24 3-9 3-7 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 12 4 -
Will Richard 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Pat Spencer 15 5-8 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 12 6 -

* = starter