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2026-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 33.4% 66.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% -
Log Adjusted 36.4% 63.6% -
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +5 (113-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 34 9-15 2-5 7-10 6 6 1 0 3 27 22 -
Ayo Dosunmu * 32 7-15 2-7 3-3 5 4 2 1 4 19 12 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 29 2-8 1-7 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 5 -1 -
Rudy Gobert * 27 2-3 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 1 1 6 11 -
Mike Conley * 22 4-8 4-7 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 14 11 -
Naz Reid 30 6-16 4-9 3-4 6 3 0 2 1 19 13 -
Kyle Anderson 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 3 2 2 12 -
Bones Hyland 19 3-12 0-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 -2 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 18 4-7 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 10 8 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniss Jenkins * 36 9-19 2-2 6-7 5 8 0 0 1 26 19 -
Jalen Duren * 35 8-15 0-0 6-10 14 4 1 2 5 22 23 -
Ausar Thompson * 30 3-6 0-0 1-2 9 9 2 3 1 7 23 -
Duncan Robinson * 28 5-11 3-7 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 15 10 -
Tobias Harris * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Javonte Green 26 2-7 2-5 2-2 6 0 1 0 1 8 7 -
Kevin Huerter 21 4-6 2-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 12 12 -
Paul Reed 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
Ronald Holland II 15 4-7 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 8 2 -
Caris LeVert 13 3-7 1-3 0-2 2 0 0 1 1 7 2 -
Marcus Sasser 8 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter