Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +20 (127-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 9-22 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Green * | 34 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 28 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 23 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Mark Williams | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Royce O'Neale | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Koby Brea | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kon Knueppel * | 32 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Miller * | 30 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Miles Bridges * | 26 | 10-16 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| LaMelo Ball * | 25 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Moussa Diabaté * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Sion James | 23 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Grant Williams | 21 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Coby White | 20 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Josh Green | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tre Mann | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter