Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.9% | 21.1% | -7.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -14 (113-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 28 | 16-22 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 41 | 43 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 25 | 5-15 | 4-13 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 27 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 23 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Williams * | 46 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Will Richard * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| LJ Cryer * | 23 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 20 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 17 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 38 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Omer Yurtseven | 29 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Malevy Leons | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Seth Curry | 10 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
* = starter