Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +6 (119-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Green * | 46 | 5-15 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng * | 44 | 15-31 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 18 | - |
| Pete Nance * | 39 | 9-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Jericho Sims * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Cormac Ryan | 38 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 23 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Alex Antetokounmpo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 37 | 9-15 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 29 | 9-13 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 27 | - |
| Tari Eason | 23 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Clint Capela | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter