Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✗ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -8 (115-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious Achiuwa * | 37 | 12-19 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 28 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 7-18 | 2-4 | 12-12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Nique Clifford * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Devin Carter * | 22 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Malik Monk | 29 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 21 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Killian Hayes | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Shead * | 37 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 36 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 32 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 33 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 18 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alijah Martin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter