Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +14 (127-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 27 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Max Strus * | 23 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 18 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 24 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 22 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 12 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake LaRavia * | 38 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 36 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Luka Dončić * | 33 | 13-26 | 6-13 | 10-10 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 35 | - |
| LeBron James * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 18 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Bronny James | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Drew Timme | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter