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2026-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% - ✓
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 ✓ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - ✓
Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons +11 (127-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 30 7-15 1-6 7-8 1 0 0 0 1 22 7 -
RJ Barrett * 30 7-12 2-4 8-10 6 2 1 0 2 24 19 -
Scottie Barnes * 27 2-8 0-2 1-4 1 12 3 2 4 5 11 -
Ja'Kobe Walter * 26 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 4 3 0 1 3 7 -
Jakob Poeltl * 23 6-9 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 13 10 -
Jamal Shead 29 2-7 1-4 1-2 0 12 1 0 1 6 11 -
Collin Murray-Boyles 23 7-13 0-1 0-2 10 0 2 1 2 14 12 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 22 7-13 2-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 16 11 -
A.J. Lawson 18 4-5 3-3 2-3 3 0 1 0 1 13 11 -
Gradey Dick 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Garrett Temple 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Markelle Fultz 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniss Jenkins * 36 5-9 2-4 9-9 5 5 0 1 3 21 20 -
Jalen Duren * 34 12-13 0-0 7-7 9 3 0 1 3 31 28 -
Tobias Harris * 32 4-9 1-3 3-4 5 6 0 0 1 12 13 -
Duncan Robinson * 29 6-9 5-8 2-3 1 2 1 0 1 19 13 -
Ausar Thompson * 26 2-6 0-0 1-2 7 5 2 0 3 5 10 -
Kevin Huerter 21 2-6 2-4 2-2 2 3 1 0 4 8 4 -
Caris LeVert 19 5-7 1-2 1-1 1 2 0 2 1 12 9 -
Paul Reed 13 5-6 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 1 1 10 12 -
Ronald Holland II 13 0-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 -
Marcus Sasser 7 3-4 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
Javonte Green 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter