Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.6% | 22.4% | -6.8 | ✓ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -30 (94-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 33 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 34 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 31 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 3-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 29 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Naz Reid | 24 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 23 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Edwards | 22 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Anderson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joan Beringer | 4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 30 | 5-19 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Max Christie * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 24 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 22 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 20 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 27 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 22 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 17 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter