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2026-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 4.4% 95.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 10.1% 89.9% - ✓
Margin 6.0% 94.0% +15.1 ✓ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 29.2% 70.8% - ✓
Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.5% 78.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +15 (129-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Giddey * 32 3-5 2-3 1-2 7 10 0 1 2 9 20 -
Guerschon Yabusele * 30 4-10 1-6 6-8 5 2 1 0 1 15 12 -
Matas Buzelis * 27 5-12 1-6 1-1 6 2 1 3 2 12 10 -
Isaac Okoro * 25 2-5 1-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
Tre Jones * 25 9-13 2-3 3-3 2 3 0 0 1 23 14 -
Collin Sexton 27 8-15 3-6 1-1 3 3 1 0 1 20 11 -
Leonard Miller 25 9-14 3-8 0-0 6 4 1 1 0 21 19 -
Patrick Williams 21 0-7 0-4 2-2 1 1 1 1 1 2 -2 -
Rob Dillingham 20 3-12 0-5 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 6 -4 -
Lachlan Olbrich 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephon Castle * 34 6-12 3-6 6-10 8 10 1 0 4 21 24 -
Victor Wembanyama * 30 17-27 3-6 4-4 16 4 1 3 2 41 36 -
Devin Vassell * 30 2-9 2-4 0-0 7 3 1 0 0 6 8 -
Julian Champagnie * 28 5-7 3-5 0-0 8 3 0 0 0 13 17 -
De'Aaron Fox * 23 3-8 0-3 1-2 2 6 2 0 3 7 6 -
Keldon Johnson 26 5-11 2-5 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 15 7 -
Dylan Harper 23 6-11 1-2 0-0 6 3 1 1 1 13 12 -
Luke Kornet 19 4-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 10 11 -
Harrison Barnes 17 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
Carter Bryant 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter