Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.9% | 34.1% | -3.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +10 (112-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 40 | 9-29 | 3-9 | 8-14 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Walsh * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Luka Garza * | 28 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 25 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Sam Hauser | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Amari Williams | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Hugo González | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Charles Bassey | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| John Tonje | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Max Shulga | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 37 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 34 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 30 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 23 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 15 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter