Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | -6.9 | β (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -32 (102-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 12-23 | 5-7 | 7-8 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 36 | 39 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 28 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 25 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tari Eason | 22 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Clint Capela | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jeff Green | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yves Missi * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 31 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Dejounte Murray * | 28 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Derik Queen | 23 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 22 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kevon Looney | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter