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2026-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 39.0% 61.0% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 60.3% 39.7% -2.3 (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% -
Log Adjusted 57.6% 42.4% -
Points Off/Def 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -22 (87-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Duren * 29 4-7 0-0 2-2 13 5 0 1 3 10 19 -
Tobias Harris * 28 7-10 2-4 2-3 4 4 1 3 2 18 18 -
Daniss Jenkins * 27 6-16 1-4 0-0 8 4 0 0 3 13 6 -
Ausar Thompson * 24 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 4 0 1 6 9 -
Duncan Robinson * 24 3-6 2-4 2-3 2 2 0 0 0 10 8 -
Kevin Huerter 21 5-11 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 11 2 -
Caris LeVert 20 4-7 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 2 2 8 8 -
Ronald Holland II 19 4-7 2-4 3-5 2 0 2 2 4 13 8 -
Paul Reed 16 4-7 0-0 4-4 7 3 1 1 1 12 16 -
Javonte Green 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 6 9 -
Marcus Sasser 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 0 4 -
Chaz Lanier 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Tolu Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donte DiVincenzo * 33 7-18 5-14 3-4 3 2 0 2 1 22 10 -
Rudy Gobert * 31 6-9 0-0 2-4 12 0 0 1 2 14 16 -
Julius Randle * 30 2-13 0-3 7-7 8 4 0 1 4 11 7 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. * 25 2-5 1-2 3-5 3 3 0 0 0 8 9 -
Mike Conley * 21 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 6 1 0 0 3 6 -
Bones Hyland 25 2-10 2-9 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 6 -3 -
Naz Reid 24 3-15 0-7 2-3 4 1 2 0 3 8 -3 -
Jaylen Clark 17 2-6 0-2 5-6 4 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
Kyle Anderson 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 2 4 -
Julian Phillips 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joe Ingles 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joan Beringer 3 1-1 0-0 2-4 0 0 1 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter