Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.4% | 8.6% | -13.0 | ✓ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -32 (95-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 30 | 7-21 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 29 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 24 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 22 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 23 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 21 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ousmane Dieng * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Pete Nance * | 30 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 27 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 26 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 25 | 5-15 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | -1 | - |
| AJ Green | 26 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Taurean Prince | 25 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 13 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Cormac Ryan | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter