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2026-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 21.0% 79.0% - ✗
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.7 ✗ (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - ✗
Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% - ✗
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - ✗

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -7 (93-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cooper Flagg * 37 9-17 0-1 6-6 3 2 4 0 3 24 13 -
Naji Marshall * 32 7-14 0-2 5-7 3 3 5 0 1 19 15 -
P.J. Washington * 27 2-6 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Max Christie * 25 1-8 1-5 2-2 3 2 1 2 2 5 3 -
Dwight Powell * 20 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 3 1 0 3 4 7 -
Marvin Bagley III 27 11-14 3-5 1-4 9 3 1 1 1 26 25 -
Brandon Williams 20 2-6 0-1 6-8 1 5 0 1 2 10 9 -
Klay Thompson 18 2-10 2-8 1-1 2 3 0 1 1 7 2 -
Ryan Nembhard 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
AJ Johnson 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Tyler Smith 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 38 3-9 2-6 0-0 5 3 1 1 1 8 8 -
Deni Avdija * 37 8-15 0-3 4-9 9 6 1 2 5 20 18 -
Jrue Holiday * 35 8-19 3-9 4-4 4 3 1 0 4 23 8 -
Donovan Clingan * 31 2-9 0-1 2-4 17 0 0 1 5 6 10 -
Jerami Grant * 29 4-8 2-4 9-12 4 0 1 2 1 19 17 -
Scoot Henderson 22 3-11 1-5 2-2 2 3 3 0 3 9 3 -
Matisse Thybulle 15 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
Kris Murray 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Robert Williams III 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
Sidy Cissoko 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter