Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | β (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | β |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (119-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 30 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 27 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Yves Missi * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 23 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Derik Queen | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 21 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 36 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 33 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Markelle Fultz | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Alijah Martin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter