Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.5% | 17.5% | -8.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -10 (109-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 28 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Tari Eason | 29 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Clint Capela | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Jackson * | 30 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 29 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper * | 28 | 12-15 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 27 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Javon Small * | 25 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 28 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Tyler Burton | 25 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| DeJon Jarreau | 15 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
* = starter