Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +7 (109-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 37 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 36 | 9-21 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 33 | 8-20 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 36 | 8-24 | 2-8 | 8-10 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Derrick White * | 34 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 34 | 13-23 | 6-11 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 19 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Luka Garza | 15 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Hugo González | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter