Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +2 (110-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 47 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 45 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 43 | 9-22 | 2-5 | 10-12 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 42 | 12-22 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 27 | 3-13 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tari Eason | 20 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Clint Capela | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 42 | 11-27 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 6 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 36 | 10-17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 36 | 6-15 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Kyle Anderson | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Naz Reid | 30 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 29 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter