Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.0% | 9.0% | -12.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -25 (98-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 26 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 26 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 25 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Dylan Harper * | 22 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 22 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 21 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 8 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Small * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| GG Jackson * | 29 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper * | 25 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 29 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Burton | 23 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| DeJon Jarreau | 14 | 5-15 | 2-11 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter