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2026-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 86.1% 13.9% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 81.2% 18.8% - βœ“
Margin 79.8% 20.2% -7.6 βœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 62.8% 37.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 62.8% 37.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 56.3% 43.7% - βœ“

Actual: Indiana Pacers -7 (130-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 37 15-30 4-11 9-10 6 7 1 0 5 43 22 -
Austin Reaves * 37 7-16 2-7 9-9 1 8 2 0 2 25 18 -
Jaxson Hayes * 36 9-11 0-0 3-6 10 1 2 2 0 21 25 -
LeBron James * 34 9-17 0-1 5-5 9 9 1 0 1 23 24 -
Jake LaRavia * 28 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 4 1 3 6 11 -
Luke Kennard 27 2-4 2-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 8 7 -
Bronny James 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 4 5 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
Maxi Kleber 11 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 1 2 0 1 2 6 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard * 33 3-9 2-6 6-6 2 19 0 0 2 14 24 -
Aaron Nesmith * 32 6-13 2-8 0-2 3 1 1 0 3 14 3 -
Jay Huff * 31 7-10 2-5 2-2 6 1 0 1 1 18 15 -
Jarace Walker * 29 5-9 4-8 1-2 6 4 0 0 3 15 13 -
Pascal Siakam * 29 7-15 1-2 5-7 8 1 1 0 4 20 11 -
Obi Toppin 19 7-10 1-3 0-0 3 2 3 0 3 15 10 -
Ben Sheppard 17 4-6 4-5 1-1 2 2 1 0 0 13 12 -
Micah Potter 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
T.J. McConnell 14 8-10 0-0 1-1 2 3 1 1 0 17 14 -
Kobe Brown 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Quenton Jackson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter