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2026-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Bradley-Terry 21.0% 79.0% -
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% -
Log Adjusted 24.6% 75.4% -
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -1 (129-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Daniels * 43 8-14 0-1 0-0 13 4 2 1 4 16 18 -
Jalen Johnson * 41 9-18 2-6 7-8 8 12 0 0 5 27 24 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 40 9-18 3-10 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 21 9 -
CJ McCollum * 34 10-21 5-12 2-2 1 5 1 0 4 27 9 -
Onyeka Okongwu * 24 4-6 3-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 11 8 -
Jock Landale 28 2-5 1-4 0-0 10 2 0 0 1 5 11 -
Jonathan Kuminga 19 3-9 1-4 1-3 5 1 1 0 2 8 4 -
Gabe Vincent 11 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 8 5 -
Corey Kispert 11 1-5 1-4 2-4 4 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
Zaccharie Risacher 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Mouhamed Gueye 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniss Jenkins * 44 6-13 1-6 6-8 3 10 1 0 6 19 14 -
Jalen Duren * 42 9-15 0-0 8-9 14 3 0 2 4 26 26 -
Ausar Thompson * 37 9-11 0-0 0-0 4 5 4 1 1 18 20 -
Tobias Harris * 35 9-17 2-5 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 22 11 -
Duncan Robinson * 31 6-12 5-10 0-0 7 4 0 0 0 17 16 -
Kevin Huerter 20 4-9 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 8 4 -
Javonte Green 15 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 7 5 -
Caris LeVert 15 2-7 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 4 5 -
Ronald Holland II 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Paul Reed 10 3-7 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 6 2 -

* = starter