Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | β (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (131-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 40 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 34 | 8-20 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 29 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gui Santos | 35 | 5-10 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 21 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| LJ Cryer | 19 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Will Richard | 12 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 41 | 12-19 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Max Christie * | 33 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 31 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 27 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 11 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter