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2026-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 33.0% 67.0% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% - βœ“
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 βœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 20.8% 79.2% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.3% 77.7% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 22.1% 77.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 27.9% 72.1% - βœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +3 (113-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 39 7-15 2-6 8-9 2 5 0 1 3 24 14 -
LeBron James * 38 4-10 1-2 3-3 9 10 0 1 4 12 18 -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 38 11-29 3-13 7-8 7 6 3 0 3 32 16 -
Jake LaRavia * 28 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
Deandre Ayton * 26 5-6 0-0 3-4 10 0 1 0 1 13 17 -
Luke Kennard 28 1-5 1-5 3-3 3 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
Jaxson Hayes 20 5-5 0-0 1-2 3 1 2 4 1 11 15 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
Adou Thiero 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Maxi Kleber 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniss Jenkins * 39 11-18 4-5 4-4 4 8 0 0 2 30 22 -
Ausar Thompson * 35 3-11 0-0 0-1 5 3 1 1 1 6 4 -
Jalen Duren * 33 5-9 0-0 10-10 11 3 0 0 3 20 22 -
Tobias Harris * 31 5-14 2-5 2-3 7 5 1 2 1 14 14 -
Duncan Robinson * 27 4-10 4-9 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 12 2 -
Kevin Huerter 20 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 7 7 -
Caris LeVert 16 3-7 0-2 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 8 6 -
Javonte Green 14 1-1 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 1 0 6 10 -
Paul Reed 14 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 8 7 -
Ronald Holland II 5 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -

* = starter