Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (29.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +39 (146-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayan Rupert * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| GG Jackson * | 30 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 23 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Burton | 28 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 28 | 4-13 | 4-12 | 4-5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks | 26 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| DeJon Jarreau | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 25 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 24 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 22 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Jock Landale | 20 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 19 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 15 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Houstan | 6 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter