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2026-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 60.4% 39.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Margin 47.5% 52.5% +0.5 ✓ (21.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% - ✓
Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +22 (120-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 27 3-10 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 3 5 6 -1 -
Scottie Barnes * 25 8-9 0-0 1-2 5 6 2 0 3 17 18 -
Immanuel Quickley * 25 4-9 1-5 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 11 7 -
RJ Barrett * 23 5-8 1-3 2-4 3 3 0 0 3 13 8 -
Jakob Poeltl * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 2 0 0 3 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 25 5-7 3-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 13 9 -
Jamal Shead 21 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 6 0 1 1 2 3 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 17 2-8 0-4 1-2 3 2 0 1 0 5 3 -
Jonathan Mogbo 17 3-5 0-0 2-3 1 2 3 1 0 8 10 -
Gradey Dick 15 2-4 2-3 4-4 3 1 1 0 1 10 10 -
Jamison Battle 10 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
Garrett Temple 7 1-1 1-1 2-3 1 2 1 0 2 5 6 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 31 9-15 3-6 4-4 3 6 0 0 2 25 17 -
Jalen Green * 30 8-15 2-5 2-2 3 7 0 1 2 20 14 -
Oso Ighodaro * 26 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 3 1 6 12 -
Jordan Goodwin * 24 5-11 3-6 1-1 7 0 2 0 4 14 8 -
Collin Gillespie * 21 6-9 4-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 16 12 -
Rasheer Fleming 28 4-8 2-5 1-1 7 1 2 1 1 11 13 -
Ryan Dunn 27 5-8 2-4 0-0 3 2 3 1 1 12 12 -
Jamaree Bouyea 19 3-9 1-4 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 7 5 -
Khaman Maluach 17 2-4 1-2 2-2 7 0 1 0 1 7 10 -
Koby Brea 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Isaiah Livers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
CJ Huntley 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter